Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.030322 2.429225 2.876912 3.415244 4.043613 4.752445 5.611125
2026-01-18 1.458119 1.964396 2.594305 3.430146 4.503927 5.830189 7.584611
2026-01-25 1.064144 1.585945 2.294006 3.313242 4.728596 6.607950 9.272064
2026-02-01 0.803470 1.308706 2.048102 3.189474 4.882210 7.269652 10.852371
2026-02-08 0.649052 1.143425 1.916354 3.183695 5.171676 8.121707 12.764010
2026-02-15 0.537066 1.016608 1.812742 3.190832 5.462948 8.988687 14.771449
2026-02-22 0.443033 0.897816 1.696784 3.151463 5.662699 9.722021 16.634809
2026-03-01 0.352009 0.763632 1.528453 2.991726 5.633177 10.074370 17.914060
2026-03-08 0.295169 0.681725 1.437669 2.950265 5.792265 10.740799 19.757597
2026-03-15 0.251615 0.616953 1.366896 2.932049 5.984569 11.474527 21.773983
2026-03-22 0.233749 0.603352 1.394086 3.104271 6.545833 12.905020 25.127728
2026-03-29 0.210618 0.572810 1.380780 3.191927 6.952367 14.089427 28.139083
2026-04-05 0.193083 0.552780 1.388620 3.328394 7.478957 15.561130 31.837905
2026-04-12 0.168430 0.509613 1.337831 3.332099 7.736966 16.548347 34.720992
2026-04-19 0.140340 0.450578 1.239562 3.214882 7.725860 17.006630 36.626354
2026-04-26 0.116741 0.397741 1.146188 3.093424 7.687804 17.402070 38.435543
2026-05-03 0.102277 0.367632 1.104292 3.087472 7.903505 18.333814 41.395148
2026-05-10 0.090348 0.342163 1.069842 3.094306 8.147989 19.345799 44.599750
2026-05-17 0.078381 0.313311 1.020742 3.055988 8.280581 20.126891 47.380912
2026-05-24 0.064398 0.273486 0.932651 2.900655 8.110144 20.223355 48.702133
2026-05-31 0.055891 0.250518 0.889491 2.860340 8.219038 20.954561 51.463019
2026-06-07 0.049121 0.231992 0.856261 2.842629 8.382847 21.824922 54.600079
2026-06-14 0.047435 0.233038 0.885445 3.010083 9.049011 23.926784 60.677994